There is no realistic chance of defeating the Russian army in the field without direct NATO involvement. A chemical attack would galvanize wavering Western support and provide a perfect casus belli for the direct involvement of NATO forces.
It is clear, as Carlson argues, that the interests of the Biden administration and the faction which favors 'forever war' lie with the promotion of more, and not less, strife for the citizens they presume to serve and to safeguard.